uk-2024-electoral-divergence / datapackage.json
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Polish item 1 (option A): add page-level source_url per poll row (verified Wikipedia opinion-polling page); README note; datapackage/croissant/CHECKSUMS/DATASHEET regenerated (Frictionless).
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{
"name": "uk-2024-electoral-divergence",
"title": "Uk 2024 Electoral Divergence Electoral Divergence Dataset",
"description": "Keir Starmer's Labour won the 2024 election with 411 of 650 seats. On the eve of the vote the market gave Labour about 99% probability of winning the most seats, while polls measured about 40% vote intention. Not a contradiction: the market prices who wins, the poll measures vote",
"version": "1.1.0",
"created": "2026-07-17T00:00:00Z",
"homepage": "https://huggingface.co/datasets/AFOS-Analytics1/uk-2024-electoral-divergence",
"keywords": [
"elections",
"prediction-markets",
"opinion-polls",
"electoral-divergence",
"open-data"
],
"licenses": [
{
"name": "CC-BY-4.0",
"title": "Creative Commons Attribution 4.0",
"path": "https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/"
}
],
"contributors": [
{
"title": "AFOS Analytics",
"role": "author",
"path": "https://afos-analytics.com"
}
],
"sources": [
{
"title": "Opinion polls via Wikipedia aggregation (CC BY-SA), original pollsters credited"
},
{
"title": "Polymarket (on-chain prediction market)"
},
{
"title": "World Bank (WGI, WDI) for structural context"
}
],
"resources": [
{
"name": "data-uk-divergence-timeseries",
"type": "table",
"path": "data/uk-divergence-timeseries.csv",
"scheme": "file",
"format": "csv",
"mediatype": "text/csv",
"encoding": "utf-8",
"schema": {
"fields": [
{
"name": "poll_date",
"type": "date"
},
{
"name": "pollster",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "party",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "poll_pct",
"type": "integer"
},
{
"name": "polymarket_pct",
"type": "number"
},
{
"name": "polymarket_date",
"type": "date"
},
{
"name": "divergence_pp",
"type": "number"
}
],
"missingValues": [
"",
"NA",
"N/A",
"-"
]
},
"hash": "sha256:588aa5bc1184f02cdd5a0bd1d0b1a2fb8e7aa1cc0d0b20e1ec1d1af4da8a3947"
},
{
"name": "data-uk-market-odds-timeseries",
"type": "table",
"path": "data/uk-market-odds-timeseries.csv",
"scheme": "file",
"format": "csv",
"mediatype": "text/csv",
"encoding": "utf-8",
"schema": {
"fields": [
{
"name": "date",
"type": "date"
},
{
"name": "party",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "polymarket_pct",
"type": "number"
},
{
"name": "volume_usd",
"type": "integer"
}
],
"missingValues": [
"",
"NA",
"N/A",
"-"
]
},
"hash": "sha256:ab88f4cc064619b2ba03397f34e1baf6a07eb34dbcc6ec7ee3d74d2f0bb0559a"
},
{
"name": "data-uk-structural-context",
"type": "table",
"path": "data/uk-structural-context.csv",
"scheme": "file",
"format": "csv",
"mediatype": "text/csv",
"encoding": "utf-8",
"schema": {
"fields": [
{
"name": "category",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "indicator",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "label",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "value",
"type": "number"
},
{
"name": "unit",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "year",
"type": "integer"
},
{
"name": "source",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "iso3",
"type": "string"
}
],
"missingValues": [
"",
"NA",
"N/A",
"-"
]
},
"hash": "sha256:f06c6720d0745bb566bed69fee5e5135360bbfdeb4010e48d0689d3997e6c7fa"
},
{
"name": "news-uk-2024-press-coverage",
"type": "table",
"path": "news/uk-2024-press-coverage.csv",
"scheme": "file",
"format": "csv",
"mediatype": "text/csv",
"encoding": "utf-8",
"schema": {
"fields": [
{
"name": "date",
"type": "date"
},
{
"name": "phase",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "outlet",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "headline",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "url",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "lang",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "topic",
"type": "string"
}
],
"missingValues": [
"",
"NA",
"N/A",
"-"
]
},
"hash": "sha256:07be567365d6fb475c02912e3babaa5b11804b8c16e6c388e9e9bb01cb14d981"
},
{
"name": "polls-uk-polls",
"type": "table",
"path": "polls/uk-polls.csv",
"scheme": "file",
"format": "csv",
"mediatype": "text/csv",
"encoding": "utf-8",
"schema": {
"fields": [
{
"name": "poll_date",
"type": "date"
},
{
"name": "fieldwork",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "pollster",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "sample",
"type": "integer"
},
{
"name": "party",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "party_full",
"type": "string"
},
{
"name": "percent",
"type": "number"
},
{
"name": "source_url",
"type": "string"
}
],
"missingValues": [
"",
"NA",
"N/A",
"-"
]
},
"hash": "sha256:ac6ad79e9b11259a5c34743ff04f400e4360d5627e32f1f0dcfd4d4f76eb70b9"
}
]
}