AFOS-Analytics1 commited on
Commit
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1 Parent(s): 1512a97

Daily 24/Out/2026: mercado certificado 20:35Z (Camara D 92.00, Senado D 66.50), generic ballot D+7.62 sobre 29, imprensa 10 itens

Browse files
CHECKSUMS.txt CHANGED
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DATASHEET.md CHANGED
@@ -18,23 +18,23 @@ What it does carry is **one race already decided**: the Texas Republican Senate
18
 
19
  | Layer | Content |
20
  |---|---|
21
- | `polls/us-generic-ballot.csv` | **511 national generic-ballot polls**, 73 pollsters, fieldwork 2025-04-19 to 2026-10-21. 509 of 511 rows carry a primary source URL |
22
- | `data/*.csv` | **52177 market price rows** across 9 Polymarket contracts |
23
- | `press/us-press-timeline.csv` | 857 headlines from 86 daily collections, fixed outlet list |
24
  | `raw/` | inputs as collected, plus the Texas primary result |
25
 
26
  ### Markets
27
 
28
  | slug | type | rows | from | to |
29
  |---|---|---|---|---|
30
- | `which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026` | binario | 864 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-23 |
31
- | `which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026` | binario | 1189 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-10-23 |
32
- | `will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled` | binario | 374 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-23 |
33
- | `republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections` | faixa | 10100 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-23 |
34
- | `republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927` | faixa | 6963 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-23 |
35
- | `how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections` | faixa | 8127 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-23 |
36
- | `2026-midterms-house-turnout` | faixa | 12583 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-23 |
37
- | `2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224` | faixa | 11592 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-23 |
38
  | `texas-republican-senate-primary-winner` | binario | 385 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-05-27 |
39
 
40
  **`binario`** contracts price the probability of an outcome; the two sides sum to about 100. **`faixa`** contracts are distributions over buckets of seats, turnout or vote margin.
 
18
 
19
  | Layer | Content |
20
  |---|---|
21
+ | `polls/us-generic-ballot.csv` | **513 national generic-ballot polls**, 74 pollsters, fieldwork 2025-04-19 to 2026-10-21. 511 of 513 rows carry a primary source URL |
22
+ | `data/*.csv` | **53089 market price rows** across 9 Polymarket contracts |
23
+ | `press/us-press-timeline.csv` | 867 headlines from 87 daily collections, fixed outlet list |
24
  | `raw/` | inputs as collected, plus the Texas primary result |
25
 
26
  ### Markets
27
 
28
  | slug | type | rows | from | to |
29
  |---|---|---|---|---|
30
+ | `which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026` | binario | 878 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-24 |
31
+ | `which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026` | binario | 1205 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-10-24 |
32
+ | `will-the-2026-midterm-elections-happen-as-scheduled` | binario | 380 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-24 |
33
+ | `republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections` | faixa | 10270 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-24 |
34
+ | `republican-senate-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections-927` | faixa | 7139 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-24 |
35
+ | `how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections` | faixa | 8246 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-24 |
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+ | `2026-midterms-house-turnout` | faixa | 12770 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-24 |
37
+ | `2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224` | faixa | 11816 | 2026-07-29 | 2026-10-24 |
38
  | `texas-republican-senate-primary-winner` | binario | 385 | 2026-04-14 | 2026-05-27 |
39
 
40
  **`binario`** contracts price the probability of an outcome; the two sides sum to about 100. **`faixa`** contracts are distributions over buckets of seats, turnout or vote margin.
README.md CHANGED
@@ -65,9 +65,9 @@ What the **market** priced and what the **polls** measured about the same electi
65
 
66
  ## What is inside
67
 
68
- - **511 national generic-ballot polls** from **73 pollsters**, fieldwork **2025-04-19 → 2026-10-21**, 509 of them with the institute's own source URL
69
- - **52177 market price rows** across **9 Polymarket contracts**: chamber control, seat distributions, turnout, popular-vote margin, and whether the election happens on schedule
70
- - **857 headlines** from 86 daily collections over a fixed list of 23 outlets
71
  - One **already decided race** with its verified outcome: the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff
72
 
73
  ## The one case that is already scored
 
65
 
66
  ## What is inside
67
 
68
+ - **513 national generic-ballot polls** from **74 pollsters**, fieldwork **2025-04-19 → 2026-10-21**, 511 of them with the institute's own source URL
69
+ - **53089 market price rows** across **9 Polymarket contracts**: chamber control, seat distributions, turnout, popular-vote margin, and whether the election happens on schedule
70
+ - **867 headlines** from 87 daily collections over a fixed list of 23 outlets
71
  - One **already decided race** with its verified outcome: the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff
72
 
73
  ## The one case that is already scored
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data/house-control.csv CHANGED
@@ -863,3 +863,17 @@ snapshot_at_utc,market_slug,market_type,outcome_name,outcome_key,price_pct,volum
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863
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864
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data/house-seats-distribution.csv CHANGED
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10120
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10121
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10122
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10123
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10124
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10125
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10126
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10127
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10128
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10129
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10130
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10131
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10132
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10133
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10134
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10135
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10136
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10137
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10138
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10139
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10140
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10141
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10142
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10143
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10144
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10145
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10146
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10147
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10148
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10149
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10150
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10151
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10152
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10153
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10154
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10155
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10156
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10157
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10158
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10159
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10160
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10161
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10162
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10163
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10164
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10165
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10166
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10167
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10168
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10170
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10171
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10172
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10173
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10174
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10175
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10176
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10182
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10183
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10184
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10186
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10187
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10188
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10189
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10190
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10191
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10192
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10193
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10194
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10196
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10197
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10198
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10203
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10205
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10213
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10216
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10218
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10223
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+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,< 190 cad.,--190-cad-,40.5,60023
10243
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,≥ 230 cad.,--230-cad-,0.7,33120
10244
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,190–194 cad.,190-194-cad-,12,19742
10245
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,195–199 cad.,195-199-cad-,16,37856
10246
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,200–204 cad.,200-204-cad-,14.1,29127
10247
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,205–209 cad.,205-209-cad-,12.1,47227
10248
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,210–214 cad.,210-214-cad-,5.3,18793
10249
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,215–219 cad.,215-219-cad-,3.5,13423
10250
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,220–224 cad.,220-224-cad-,3.5,61705
10251
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,225–229 cad.,225-229-cad-,2.4,26578
10252
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,< 190 cad.,--190-cad-,40,60051
10253
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,≥ 230 cad.,--230-cad-,0.7,33120
10254
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,190–194 cad.,190-194-cad-,12,19770
10255
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,195–199 cad.,195-199-cad-,16.5,37883
10256
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,200–204 cad.,200-204-cad-,14.1,29154
10257
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,205–209 cad.,205-209-cad-,12,47227
10258
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,210–214 cad.,210-214-cad-,5.3,18793
10259
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,215–219 cad.,215-219-cad-,4,13423
10260
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,220–224 cad.,220-224-cad-,3.5,61705
10261
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,225–229 cad.,225-229-cad-,1.8,26578
10262
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,< 190 cad.,--190-cad-,37.5,60055
10263
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,≥ 230 cad.,--230-cad-,0.7,33120
10264
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,190–194 cad.,190-194-cad-,11.5,19770
10265
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,195–199 cad.,195-199-cad-,15.5,37883
10266
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,200–204 cad.,200-204-cad-,14.1,29154
10267
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,205–209 cad.,205-209-cad-,11.8,47227
10268
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,210–214 cad.,210-214-cad-,5.3,18793
10269
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,215–219 cad.,215-219-cad-,3.9,13423
10270
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,220–224 cad.,220-224-cad-,3.5,61705
10271
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,republican-house-seats-after-the-2026-midterm-elections,faixa,225–229 cad.,225-229-cad-,2.3,26578
data/popular-vote-margin-distribution.csv CHANGED
@@ -11591,3 +11591,227 @@ snapshot_at_utc,market_slug,market_type,outcome_name,outcome_key,price_pct,volum
11591
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11592
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11593
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
11591
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11592
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11593
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11594
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.2,22948
11595
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25,11436
11596
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,13,6962
11597
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11598
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11599
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.6,19264
11600
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,7,11216
11601
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18095
11602
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11603
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11604
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2,7050
11605
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11606
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11607
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11608
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.2,22948
11609
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11436
11610
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,13.5,6962
11611
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11612
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11613
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.6,19264
11614
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6.5,11216
11615
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18095
11616
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11617
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11618
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11619
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11620
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11621
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11622
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.1,22948
11623
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,26,11436
11624
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.7,6962
11625
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4,4811
11626
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11627
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11628
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6.5,11216
11629
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18095
11630
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11631
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11632
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11633
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11634
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11635
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11636
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.3,22948
11637
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,26,11436
11638
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.4,6962
11639
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11640
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11641
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11642
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6,11216
11643
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18095
11644
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11645
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11646
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11647
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11648
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11649
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11650
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.1,22948
11651
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,26,11436
11652
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.3,6962
11653
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11654
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11655
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11656
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6.5,11216
11657
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18095
11658
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11659
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11660
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11661
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11662
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11663
+ 2026-10-24T02:00:36.360Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11664
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.1,22948
11665
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,26,11467
11666
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.3,6962
11667
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11668
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11669
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11670
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6,11216
11671
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11672
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11673
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11674
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11675
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11676
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11677
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11678
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.2,22948
11679
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,26,11467
11680
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.3,6962
11681
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11682
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11683
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11684
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6.5,11216
11685
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11686
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,26,17522
11687
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11688
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11689
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11690
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11691
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11692
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.1,22948
11693
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,26,11467
11694
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.3,6962
11695
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11696
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11697
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11698
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,7,11216
11699
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11700
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11701
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11702
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11703
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11704
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11705
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11706
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.3,22948
11707
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11467
11708
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.3,6962
11709
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11710
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11711
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11712
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6.5,11216
11713
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11714
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,26,17522
11715
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11716
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11717
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11718
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11719
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11720
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.4,22948
11721
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11467
11722
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.3,6962
11723
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4,4811
11724
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11725
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11726
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6,11216
11727
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11728
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25.5,17522
11729
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11730
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11731
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11732
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11733
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11734
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.4,22948
11735
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11467
11736
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.2,6962
11737
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11738
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11739
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.6,19264
11740
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6,11216
11741
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11742
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25,17522
11743
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11744
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11745
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11746
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11747
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11748
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.2,22948
11749
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11467
11750
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.2,6962
11751
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,3.7,4811
11752
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11753
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.6,19264
11754
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6.5,11216
11755
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11756
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25,17522
11757
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11758
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11759
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11760
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11761
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11762
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.3,22948
11763
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11467
11764
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,12.5,6962
11765
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4,4811
11766
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11767
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.6,19264
11768
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6,11216
11769
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11770
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25,17522
11771
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11772
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11773
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11774
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11775
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11776
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.1,22948
11777
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11467
11778
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,13.1,6962
11779
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,4.1,4811
11780
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11781
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11782
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6.5,11216
11783
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11784
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25,17522
11785
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,Outro resultado,outro-resultado,45.5,0
11786
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+0–2,r-0-2,2.1,7050
11787
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+2–4,r-2-4,2.3,31597
11788
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+4–6,r-4-6,1.1,6003
11789
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,R+6 ou mais,r-6-ou-mais,0.9,5572
11790
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+0–2,d-0-2,3.2,22948
11791
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+10–12,d-10-12,25.5,11467
11792
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+12–14,d-12-14,11.9,6962
11793
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+14–16,d-14-16,3.9,4811
11794
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+16 ou mais,d-16-ou-mais,3.3,5491
11795
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+2–4,d-2-4,2.7,19264
11796
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+4–6,d-4-6,6,11216
11797
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+6–8,d-6-8,15.5,18106
11798
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-popular-vote-margin-of-victory-224,faixa,D+8–10,d-8-10,25,17522
11799
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11800
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11809
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11813
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11814
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11815
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11816
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11817
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data/senate-control.csv CHANGED
@@ -1188,3 +1188,19 @@ snapshot_at_utc,market_slug,market_type,outcome_name,outcome_key,price_pct,volum
1188
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1188
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1191
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1192
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1193
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1201
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1204
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1206
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,which-party-will-win-the-senate-in-2026,binario,Republicanos,republicanos,32.5,3692172
data/senate-seats-distribution.csv CHANGED
@@ -6962,3 +6962,179 @@ snapshot_at_utc,market_slug,market_type,outcome_name,outcome_key,price_pct,volum
6962
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6962
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7038
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7039
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7040
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7041
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7042
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7043
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7044
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7045
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7046
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7047
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7048
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7049
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7050
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7051
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7052
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7053
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7054
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7055
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7056
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7057
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7058
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7059
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7060
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7061
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7062
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7063
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7064
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7065
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7066
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7067
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7068
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7069
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7070
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7071
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7072
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7073
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7074
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7075
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7076
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7077
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7078
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7079
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7080
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7081
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7082
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7083
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7084
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7085
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7086
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7087
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7088
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7089
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7090
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7091
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7092
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7093
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7094
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7095
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7096
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7097
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7098
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7099
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7100
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7101
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7102
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7103
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7104
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7105
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7106
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7107
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7108
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7110
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7111
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7112
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7113
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7116
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7117
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7118
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7119
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7121
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7122
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7123
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7124
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7127
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7128
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7130
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7131
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7135
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7136
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7137
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7138
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7139
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7140
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data/turnout-distribution.csv CHANGED
@@ -12582,3 +12582,190 @@ snapshot_at_utc,market_slug,market_type,outcome_name,outcome_key,price_pct,volum
12582
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12583
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.2,1915
12584
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.2,428
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
12582
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12583
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.2,1915
12584
  2026-10-23T18:00:35.538Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.2,428
12585
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12586
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,12.7,3103
12587
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.7,1333
12588
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,8.7,1098
12589
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,20,5491
12590
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12591
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,16,10991
12592
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12593
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12594
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.6,1915
12595
+ 2026-10-23T19:30:36.004Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.6,428
12596
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12597
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,15.2,3103
12598
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.7,1333
12599
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,10,1098
12600
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,20,5491
12601
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12602
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14.5,11027
12603
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12604
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12605
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.6,1915
12606
+ 2026-10-23T21:00:36.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,0.7,428
12607
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12608
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.5,3103
12609
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.4,1333
12610
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,9.8,1098
12611
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18,5491
12612
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12613
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11027
12614
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12615
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12616
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.4,1915
12617
+ 2026-10-23T22:30:36.039Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,0.8,428
12618
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12619
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.4,3103
12620
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.2,1333
12621
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,16.4,1098
12622
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18.5,5491
12623
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12624
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,13.5,11027
12625
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12626
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12627
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.6,1915
12628
+ 2026-10-24T00:00:37.252Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,0.6,428
12629
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12630
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.4,3103
12631
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.5,1333
12632
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,9,1098
12633
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18,5491
12634
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12635
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,13.5,11027
12636
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12637
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12638
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.6,1915
12639
+ 2026-10-24T01:30:37.194Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,0.6,428
12640
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12641
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.4,3103
12642
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6,1333
12643
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,9,1098
12644
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18,5491
12645
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12646
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,13.5,11027
12647
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12648
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12649
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.1,1915
12650
+ 2026-10-24T03:00:36.143Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.4,428
12651
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12652
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.8,3103
12653
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.4,1333
12654
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,11.2,1098
12655
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18,5491
12656
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12657
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,13.5,11027
12658
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12659
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12660
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.2,1915
12661
+ 2026-10-24T04:30:35.631Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.4,428
12662
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12663
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,14.5,3103
12664
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.2,1333
12665
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,9.1,1098
12666
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,19,5491
12667
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12668
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14.5,11027
12669
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12670
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12671
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.7,1915
12672
+ 2026-10-24T06:00:35.108Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.4,428
12673
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12674
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,12.2,3103
12675
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.3,1333
12676
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,11.2,1098
12677
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,17.5,5491
12678
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12679
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,13.5,11027
12680
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,7.5,4956
12681
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12682
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.2,1915
12683
+ 2026-10-24T07:00:35.651Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1,428
12684
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12685
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.9,3103
12686
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.4,1333
12687
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,11.1,1098
12688
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18.5,5491
12689
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12690
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,13.5,11027
12691
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,11,4992
12692
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12693
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.3,1915
12694
+ 2026-10-24T08:00:36.761Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.4,428
12695
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12696
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.3,3103
12697
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.9,1333
12698
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,11.4,1098
12699
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18.5,5491
12700
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12701
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11052
12702
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,10.5,4992
12703
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12704
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,0.9,1915
12705
+ 2026-10-24T09:30:35.634Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.2,428
12706
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12707
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,10.9,3103
12708
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.3,1333
12709
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,11.5,1098
12710
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18.5,5491
12711
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12712
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11052
12713
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,10.5,4992
12714
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12715
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.3,1915
12716
+ 2026-10-24T11:00:37.336Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,2.8,532
12717
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12718
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,11.5,3103
12719
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.4,1333
12720
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,10.5,1098
12721
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18.5,5491
12722
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,28.5,7144
12723
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11052
12724
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,11,4992
12725
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12726
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.2,1915
12727
+ 2026-10-24T12:30:35.499Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,2.7,532
12728
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12729
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,12.6,3103
12730
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.9,1333
12731
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,11.3,1098
12732
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18.5,5491
12733
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12734
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11052
12735
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,10,4992
12736
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12737
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12738
+ 2026-10-24T14:00:36.817Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.8,532
12739
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12740
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,13.3,3103
12741
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,7.4,1333
12742
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,11.1,1098
12743
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,18.5,5491
12744
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,28.5,7144
12745
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11052
12746
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,12.5,4992
12747
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12748
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.2,1915
12749
+ 2026-10-24T15:00:39.451Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.8,532
12750
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12751
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,11.6,3103
12752
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.4,1333
12753
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,8.4,1098
12754
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,17.5,5491
12755
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29,7144
12756
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11052
12757
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,10.5,4992
12758
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12759
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.1,1915
12760
+ 2026-10-24T16:00:39.607Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.8,532
12761
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,< 85m votos,--85m-votos,0.3,723
12762
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,≥ 130m votos,--130m-votos,11.1,3103
12763
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,100–105m votos,100-105m-votos,6.2,1333
12764
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,105–110m votos,105-110m-votos,9.2,1098
12765
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,110–115m votos,110-115m-votos,19,5531
12766
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,115–120m votos,115-120m-votos,29.5,7144
12767
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,120–125m votos,120-125m-votos,14,11052
12768
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,125–130m votos,125-130m-votos,10,4992
12769
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,85–90m votos,85-90m-votos,0.2,719
12770
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,90–95m votos,90-95m-votos,1.1,1915
12771
+ 2026-10-24T17:30:35.949Z,2026-midterms-house-turnout,faixa,95–100m votos,95-100m-votos,1.9,532
data/us-2026-case-summary.json CHANGED
@@ -4,68 +4,68 @@
4
  "status": "pre-electoral",
5
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6
  "polls": {
7
- "rows": 511,
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9
  "fieldwork_from": "2025-04-19",
10
  "fieldwork_to": "2026-10-21",
11
- "with_primary_source": 509
12
  },
13
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  {
15
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  "type": "binario",
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- "rows": 864,
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  {
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- "rows": 374,
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  "from": "2026-07-29",
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- "to": "2026-10-23"
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  },
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  {
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37
  "type": "faixa",
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- "rows": 10100,
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  "from": "2026-07-29",
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  "type": "faixa",
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- "to": "2026-10-23"
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  {
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  "slug": "how-many-republican-governors-after-the-2026-midterm-elections",
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  "type": "faixa",
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- "rows": 8127,
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  "from": "2026-07-29",
54
- "to": "2026-10-23"
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  "type": "faixa",
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- "rows": 12583,
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  "from": "2026-07-29",
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- "to": "2026-10-23"
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- "rows": 11592,
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  "from": "2026-07-29",
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  {
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@@ -76,7 +76,7 @@
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  }
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  "press": {
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- "rows": 857,
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- "collections": 86
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  }
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  }
 
4
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  "markets": [
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  {
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  "slug": "which-party-will-win-the-house-in-2026",
16
  "type": "binario",
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polls/us-generic-ballot.csv CHANGED
@@ -413,6 +413,8 @@ fieldwork_start,fieldwork_end,pollster,sample_size,sample_type,margin_of_error,d
413
  2026-08-28,2026-09-02,Focaldata/Financial Times,2178,A,,46,41,13,5,https://www.focaldata.com/blog/trump-approval-hits-record-low-as-democrats-extend-house-lead
414
  2026-09-04,2026-09-06,Morning Consult,2203,RV,,46,42,12,4,https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2026/09/MCPI-Midterm-Ballot.html
415
  2026-09-03,2026-09-06,Quinnipiac University,970,RV,3.9,49,38,13,11,https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3965
 
 
416
  2026-09-04,2026-09-08,The Economist/YouGov,1015,LV,,49,38,13,11,https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_SlcWdVd.pdf#page=32
417
  2026-09-04,2026-09-08,The Economist/YouGov,1464,RV,3.4,42,35,23,7,https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_SlcWdVd.pdf#page=32
418
  2026-09-04,2026-09-09,Catawba College/YouGov,779,LV,,49,38,12,11,https://www.catawba.edu/news/all-news/2026/yougov-36/
 
413
  2026-08-28,2026-09-02,Focaldata/Financial Times,2178,A,,46,41,13,5,https://www.focaldata.com/blog/trump-approval-hits-record-low-as-democrats-extend-house-lead
414
  2026-09-04,2026-09-06,Morning Consult,2203,RV,,46,42,12,4,https://pro-assets.morningconsult.com/wp-uploads/2026/09/MCPI-Midterm-Ballot.html
415
  2026-09-03,2026-09-06,Quinnipiac University,970,RV,3.9,49,38,13,11,https://poll.qu.edu/poll-release?releaseid=3965
416
+ 2026-08-20,2026-09-07,Public Religion Research Institute,,RV,,43,36,21,7,https://prri.org/research/darkening-mood-and-shifting-political-loyalties-ahead-of-midterm-elections-findings-from-the-2026-american-values-survey/
417
+ 2026-08-20,2026-09-07,Public Religion Research Institute,5539,A,1.6,36,28,35,8,https://prri.org/research/darkening-mood-and-shifting-political-loyalties-ahead-of-midterm-elections-findings-from-the-2026-american-values-survey/
418
  2026-09-04,2026-09-08,The Economist/YouGov,1015,LV,,49,38,13,11,https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_SlcWdVd.pdf#page=32
419
  2026-09-04,2026-09-08,The Economist/YouGov,1464,RV,3.4,42,35,23,7,https://d3nkl3psvxxpe9.cloudfront.net/documents/econTabReport_SlcWdVd.pdf#page=32
420
  2026-09-04,2026-09-09,Catawba College/YouGov,779,LV,,49,38,12,11,https://www.catawba.edu/news/all-news/2026/yougov-36/
press/us-press-timeline.csv CHANGED
@@ -856,3 +856,13 @@ collected_on,outlet,headline,published_at,link_origin,track,url
856
  2026-10-23,The New York Times,Roy Cooper Has Never Lost an Election. Can He Flip North Carolina’s Senate Seat?,2026-10-23T17:18:30.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/23/us/politics/roy-cooper-north-carolina-senate-election.html
857
  2026-10-23,Fox News,Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip House,2026-10-23T17:01:37.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.foxnews.com/politics/thune-weighs-nightmare-scenario-gop-democrats-threaten-flip-house
858
  2026-10-23,The Washington Post,Examining the Muslim Brotherhood claims in Michigan’s Senate race,2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z,google,disputa,https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxQYzlmclBHbllzRzNxVEh1WDJETThRSWx3RXRqd0FmX09NRnpodFNld3pUM3d6Wi04SFZiTEtCMS13Z19HakJtOXdyOWpzN1F6bEU4dnRPSHpXbFhUekM1MzFaaHVscm52clI3dUs1aFZoM2FoYkstOUZ0MGVvUlJ3Vmw0dlFsZFhmVUs1bk11V0FXR3lDZkdGajM5dFVkVzYtWUktTUMxcGZ3VVB4Z2c?oc=5
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
856
  2026-10-23,The New York Times,Roy Cooper Has Never Lost an Election. Can He Flip North Carolina’s Senate Seat?,2026-10-23T17:18:30.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/23/us/politics/roy-cooper-north-carolina-senate-election.html
857
  2026-10-23,Fox News,Thune weighs nightmare scenario for GOP as Democrats threaten to flip House,2026-10-23T17:01:37.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.foxnews.com/politics/thune-weighs-nightmare-scenario-gop-democrats-threaten-flip-house
858
  2026-10-23,The Washington Post,Examining the Muslim Brotherhood claims in Michigan’s Senate race,2026-10-23T17:00:00.000Z,google,disputa,https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMirgFBVV95cUxQYzlmclBHbllzRzNxVEh1WDJETThRSWx3RXRqd0FmX09NRnpodFNld3pUM3d6Wi04SFZiTEtCMS13Z19HakJtOXdyOWpzN1F6bEU4dnRPSHpXbFhUekM1MzFaaHVscm52clI3dUs1aFZoM2FoYkstOUZ0MGVvUlJ3Vmw0dlFsZFhmVUs1bk11V0FXR3lDZkdGajM5dFVkVzYtWUktTUMxcGZ3VVB4Z2c?oc=5
859
+ 2026-10-24,NBC News,Tracking the 2026 Early Vote: Midterm Elections,2026-10-24T18:00:21.000Z,google,disputa,https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTE5CNDhGdFFLbHU0dnFMZGZ5T2Z4LVNzYk5Mb0lHNXZhQW56U09sX1RmWmRLZmlvRnQtOHNHUlZlS3NZckF2WHF0LXVZOHROTTBCMnQzbkM2X1JCYkY5RGpwamRubEc4M3lPaFE?oc=5
860
+ 2026-10-24,NewsNation,Elon Musk-backed PAC sends out 'false' text about Abdul El-Sayed in Senate race,2026-10-24T17:55:49.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2026-midterm-elections/elon-musk-pac-false-text-abdul-el-sayed-senate-race-midterms/
861
+ 2026-10-24,NewsNation,Early voting surges in battleground states as Democrats outpace GOP gains,2026-10-24T17:31:51.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.newsnationnow.com/us-news/early-voting-surges-in-battleground-states-as-democrats-outpace-gop-gains/
862
+ 2026-10-24,The New York Times,Why Democrats Could Find It Hard to Win the Senate Despite Their Strong Polls,2026-10-24T17:00:54.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/24/us/politics/democrats-expectations-blue-wave.html
863
+ 2026-10-24,The New York Times,"Obama Returns to the Trail, Setting Up Dueling Midterm Appearances With Trump",2026-10-24T16:50:50.000Z,feed,disputa,https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/24/us/politics/obama-trump-midterms-campaign.html
864
+ 2026-10-24,NBC News,"Maine Midterm Elections 2026: Key Races, Candidates and Past Results",2026-10-24T16:30:21.000Z,google,disputa,https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMibkFVX3lxTE9NdHFMY2tJbzM3eWVKNllUWUlJaXpuQl9JalMyOTdlZDIwMWtWd3M1MVRKdHkxM01zZHZtRDYxQ2FCbnVlNlZIUXRMRTJxaGVuWmRwbWJZQndGS2tsZllyYm9uN0E4WEhzQzZBenJR?oc=5
865
+ 2026-10-24,ABC News,This US House district was once a political battleground. Now it shows why Congress is dysfunctional,2026-10-24T15:35:20.000Z,feed,disputa,https://abcnews.com/Politics/wireStory/us-house-district-political-battleground-now-shows-congress-137534858
866
+ 2026-10-24,ABC News,AOC can draw a crowd. The midterms will test whether her politics can win before 2028,2026-10-24T15:33:15.000Z,feed,disputa,https://abcnews.com/Politics/wireStory/aoc-draw-crowd-midterms-test-politics-win-2028-137536905
867
+ 2026-10-24,USA Today,Allan Lichtman has predicted presidents. Can he nail the midterms?,2026-10-24T15:27:00.000Z,google,disputa,https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMi2gFBVV95cUxQSkJiT2Q3c2ZkWm9hWGFxd2J1UmlGSENhdmFMaGsyY215OGlTbWRHenAyMTZjYzhEbVdJRFFCV0dpY3VlN0w1eUxTUEtJbExXR1lxamJNcGtVTnREQXNyd2Z5Yk1pZWN3X3RTSEQteklDcDFqQjFpNUQwMjhBS2pQMnB5UWp3M2lNbmlMN0o0QUdYUjBGdWxSczN5VUdUa2NjNGgtSDVwTkVNS3VfZndURl9YWnhWcHlBSTVrY3o3Nno2WDdhQ1lJanF1ckZ0V0E5MHBRaGdvbDlzZw?oc=5
868
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  "instituto": "Morning Consult",
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18814
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+ "titulo": "Tracking the 2026 Early Vote: Midterm Elections",
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+ "url": "https://news.google.com/rss/articles/CBMiakFVX3lxTE5CNDhGdFFLbHU0dnFMZGZ5T2Z4LVNzYk5Mb0lHNXZhQW56U09sX1RmWmRLZmlvRnQtOHNHUlZlS3NZckF2WHF0LXVZOHROTTBCMnQzbkM2X1JCYkY5RGpwamRubEc4M3lPaFE?oc=5",
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+ "url": "https://www.newsnationnow.com/politics/2026-midterm-elections/elon-musk-pac-false-text-abdul-el-sayed-senate-race-midterms/",
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  }
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